Lincolnshire Forward: Surviving Global Crisis Locally

Geopolitics

How Lincolnshire & the UK tackle global problems affecting local communities.

Population decline, energy grid collapse, food price inflation, environmental change, defence fragmentation… these are all global problems which have a very real impact on the local populations. How we respond to these threats and create opportunities will define future prosperity for young people and care for our elderly.

It affects everyone, everywhere all at once and our political class has not been honest with us about the challenges we face for decades, often choosing the wrong solution for political expedience over fixing or addressing some of the key issues.

Opinion

How do you survive a convergence of catastrophic changes that affect the whole globe?

Population Collapse

Demographic catastrophe on the doorstep: the world is getting older and we are nowhere near replacement birth rates. In the UK each female produces 1.3 babies, way short of the 2.1 needed to replace the people we lose, worse we had 10 workers for every retiree in 1960, today that’s 2.9 spelling doom for social care programmes, healthcare provision and pensions.

They Lied: Facing this collapse politicians turned to immigration to protect GDP, now that is no longer politically, they can continue to lie or face a backlash. They kick the can down the road hoping to be saved by AI or Robotics but our energy infrastructure can’t handle it.

Possible Solutions for Lincolnshire
We offer young engineers and medics a “Sovereign Bond”, subsidised living and energy security in exchange for five to ten years of enclave service. Build a world class coastal entrepreneurial centre.

A Lack of Energy

It is not just about Iran: The world was in energy crisis even before Iran, now it is a catastrophe. Climate change is real, debating the causes is just politics, but the UK’s fanaticism with Net Zero at all costs has caused us to become the world’s energy basket case. Miliband is wrong to not use fossil fuels while we prepare for the future. Tice is wrong to dismiss the role of renewable energy, not just because it is a solution but because it brings jobs and income to Lincolnshire.

They Lied: They told you renewables were cheaper, they are if not subsidised but nobody builds them without the subsidy. They told you we could drill baby drill for more oil, production has passed it’s peak, no new significant oil fields have been found in over a decade.

Possible Solutions for Lincolnshire
Stop sending our power to London for no return: Leverage our 800MW solar pipeline and 1.5GW wind power to build the North Lincolnshire Green Energy Park to create an independent, “islanded” regional grid. Repatriate some of the £1.1billion the crown estate takes from our waters to fund local initiatives.

We Solved Food Production

Famine will be the new norm: America is lucky, it has vast areas of fertile land that due to a lack of agriculture pre-1800’s means they still retain good soil. They are an outlier, the UK’s soil has been harvested for so long it needs help to support edible crop growth, for that you need fertiliser. China, once a major supplier has now put an embargo on exports, many other countries are going to be bidding to get what is left int eh market, prices are already up 20% then Trump invaded Iran and all hell broke loose.

They got complacent: The UK stopped producing it’s own fertiliser and we can’t replace it with shit! We now compete on teh open market for imports, a lot of that is no longer avilable, As the part of the country that feeds most of the rest we were reliant on that, farmers work to tight margins they have to pay more so do we. Then we compound it by taking good land and covering it with solar panels.

Possible Solutions for Lincolnshire
Re-industrialising nitrogen production locally using our surplus offshore wind energy (Green Ammonia). Provide security to our region’s farmers without importing. Improve the road infrastructure to move goods faster to other regions. Find brownfield sites for solar instead of green fields.

We Will Fight them on the Beaches

The US will protect us, until they won’t: The special relationship is over, Trump has made sure things are unlikely to ever return to the new norm and we are on our own when it comes to protecting our land. Sadly we can’t even protect our borders and our armed forces have been hollowed out to the point of absurdity and Starmer would prefer to lock our troops with his lawyer mates than really invest.

They got complacent: Politician’s took the peace dividend at the end of the cold war, so sure were they that we were far from harm they just put the money elsewhere and waited for the US to back us up in any conflict.

Possible Solutions for Lincolnshire
Use the £20m Neighbourhood Plan to fund a “Resilience Guard”, trained in Lincolnshire in flood defence, logistics, and emergency engineering. Create a Defence Tech Sector in our region with it’s long standing ties to the Military.

“It’s time for grown up conversations and real world plans to prevent this region and this country from a catastrophe…”

Craig Cooksley—Hotelier, Businessman & Charity Trustee

The colonial extraction of Lincolnshire…​

Lincolnshire is currently being treated as a resource colony for a distant and indifferent capital. The numbers don’t lie: while we provide the nation’s fire and calories, we are rewarded with the lowest public spending in the United Kingdom. In 2024/25, the East Midlands received just £12,158 per person—a staggering £3,000 less than London. When it comes to the infrastructure that actually moves a county—roads, rail, and the grid—the abuse is even sharper: we receive just £1,065 per head in capital investment, roughly half of what is poured into London.

But the true ‘heist’ is happening off our coast. Last year, the Crown Estate reported a record £1.1 billion net profit, driven almost entirely by the wind farms and subsea cables landing on our shores. Every penny of that billion is siphoned straight to the Treasury to fund ‘Net Zero’ fantasies and London transport projects, leaving the Lincolnshire coast to deal with the visual blight and the strain on our local services for zero direct return.

We process 70% of the UK’s seafood and grow 30% of its vegetables, yet we are left with a ‘Dental Desert’ and the longest NHS wait times in the country. We are the nation’s life-support machine, yet the government treats us like a nuisance to be managed rather than a powerhouse to be invested in. The message from Westminster is clear: Lincolnshire is for harvesting, not for helping.

Government spend per head v London
bn
Taken by the Crown Estate
%
Capital Spend per Head v London

Thoughts

Want to know more?

I’m just a man with access to information and ideas, sometimes I’m right, sometimes I am wrong but someone has to start the debate

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